After widespread storms in the Albuquerque metro area this afternoon we are now getting a break as we head into the overnight hours. But that Break may not last all that long. The chance for storms will continue as we head into the early morning hours where light to moderate rain remains a possibility.
On Thursday the thunderstorm crop looks good once again from the continental divide all the way east to the state line. Here in the metro area scattered to numerous storms will once again be possible and they could dump some meaningful rain. At the Sunport today we picked up .94 inches of rain. This leaves us over 2″ of rain for the month of July and we’ve still got half the month to go.
Another cold front pushes in today, recharging the moisture across much of the state. With more sunshine earlier in the day, expect a more active afternoon and evening for showers and storms. Some storms, especially across the northeast, could be strong to severe. In areas that have already seen quite a bit a rainfall in the past several days, flash flooding will be a concern.
A drying trend begins Thursday as the ridge of high pressure to the west shifts toward the state. There will be less storm coverage across the west and central sections of the state. A decent round of storms is still expected across the central mountain chain and points east.
The high continues to build in Friday and over the weekend. This will limit storms to mainly the high terrain. Only spot storms will develop, at best, across the lower terrain. With drier air in place, temperatures will soar across New Mexico. Afternoon highs will push near 100° in Albuquerque, and exceed the century mark across the south and west into early next week.
Flash Flood Watches are in place across the north through tonight.
More rain and storms can be expected in parts of NM again today. We’ll have partly cloudy to mostly cloudy skies with highs hear 88°. Isol’d showers and storms possible by the late afternoon and evening hours. Tonight, mostly cloudy, lingering showers, lows near 67°.
The perfect combination of gusty, moist east winds and a weather disturbance rolling down from the north helped keep storms going throughout much of the overnight into early Tuesday morning across the Albuquerque metro area. That widespread storm activity actually helped keep storms in check in fairly sparse through the afternoon hours here in Albuquerque. The cloud cover did not allow for much heating and therefore no real trigger to start new storms during the afternoon hours. But this evening that is all started to change as widespread storms are popping up over the northern mountains. Expect some of those storms to roll in the central sections overnight tonight.
On Wednesday a new round of storms will fire up and yet another backdoor cold front will roll into Eastern New Mexico. The storms that get touched off are likely to be pretty strong with gusty winds, heavy rain and the possibility of large hail. We are also likely to see storms here in the metro area Wednesday into early Thursday.
Late in the day on Thursday and into the weekend high-pressure will slowly build across the area. The high over New Mexico will be pretty strong and it’s going to dry out the atmosphere. Temperatures should increase significantly through the weekend days into the beginning of next week. Below is a look at how much rain we might see in the next couple of days. It still looks promising for more meaningful precip.
After seeing yesterday’s showers and storms linger into this morning, expect today’s round of storms to develop later in the day. Left over cloud cover will delay daytime heating especially across the east. Expect storms to first develop across the western high terrain. However, central and eastern New Mexico will eventually see storm development by the evening hours. Some storms could last through the overnight.
Another cold front will recharge the moisture for Wednesday. In addition, a weak disturbance will move in from the north, providing lift. The combination of the two will lead to numerous showers and storms once again for Wednesday afternoon and evening. As this next front moves in, an east canyon wind will also likely develop in Santa Fe and Albuquerque.
The ridge of high pressure that has recently been sitting out of the way to the west will shift back toward the state Thursday. Most of the moisture will get pushed east of the central mountain chain. Expect only spot storms across west and central New Mexico, with the central mountain chain and eastern plains seeing more scattered storms.
That high pushes over the state for Friday and the weekend, greatly limiting storm activity. Storms will be few and far between, with the most action being over the higher terrain. With drier air in place, temperatures will heat back up. Albuquerque will return to the mid to upper 90s, while much of the south and east will make a run for 100°.
While the Sunport in Albuquerque only picked up 0.22″, the foothills saw nearly 1.00″.