The Rain Continues

September 21st, 2014 at 9:03 pm by under Weather

Monday will be very similar to Sunday with more scattered showers and storms across the state. Unfortunately, the southeast is expected to receive even more rainfall on top of what has already fallen. Official reports for Whites City are close to 6″ since Thursday, and some remote areas of Eddy County could be even higher.

The good news is that a drying trend will set up Tuesday into Wednesday. As things dry out, temperatures will warm to above average for this time of year. While spot storms will still be possible across the state, most areas will remain dry through the end of the work week.

Long range models disagree on the setup for next weekend. Both models show a storm system passing to the north. However, one model has it closer to New Mexico. Regardless of track, both models continue showing a shift away from the monsoon setup to storm systems diving closer to the state.

Areas of Eddy county have seen over half of their average annual precipitation since Thursday.

Areas of Eddy county have seen over half of their average annual precipitation since Thursday.

Showers to End the Weekend

September 20th, 2014 at 5:43 pm by under Weather

After a break Saturday, rain returns to New Mexico on Sunday. The good news is that we are not expecting widespread persistent rainfall. The bad news is that any scattered storms that do develop could dump quick bursts of heavy rainfall. Flash flooding will be possible for those areas already saturated from the remnants of Odile.

The moisture Sunday will be due to the monsoon flow, assisted by a storm passing to our northwest. Showers will continue across the south and east Sunday, but drier air will work into the northwest corner of the state as the storm system passes north.

The weather goes quiet for the middle and latter part of the work week with above average temperatures.

Moisture will return Sunday allowing for scattered showers and storms.

Moisture will return Sunday allowing for scattered showers and storms.

A Break For Now…

September 19th, 2014 at 9:53 pm by under Weather

After a very wet past four days across southern New Mexico will get a bit of a break on Saturday. There will still be the chance of spot storms especially across the south and east with plenty of cloud cover but widespread rain is not likely. Changes start to roll in late on Saturday with another backdoor cold front coming into the Northeast. This front will help introduce  a bit more moisture across the area.

Then during the day on Sunday things will really get interesting as a storm passes to our north. That will help open up the monsoon moisture door from the south and fuel more afternoon thunderstorms. That chance for afternoon thunderstorms continues into Monday.

Below is a look at the 30 day outlook for precipitation. Still looks good as the next 30 days should bring at least average if not above-average precip to the state.
Long Range

Day Planner: Friday, September 19th, 2014

September 19th, 2014 at 7:51 am by under Weather

Scattered showers and heavy rain will be possible again for SE and E portions of the state.  Much of the state will be dry and warm with only the chance for spot showers and storms.  Temperatures will be warm and comfortable with highs in the 70s and 80s.   Today, partly cloudy, nice, highs near 81°.  Tonight, partly cloudy, cool, lows near 62°.  This weekend, a front will slide into NE New Mexico.  This will increase the chance for rain in the NE.  Much of the state will be warm and breezy with highs in the upper 80s.

Rain For The South…Bust For The North

September 18th, 2014 at 9:22 pm by under Weather

What a bust the storm turned out to be if you’re in the Albuquerque metro area. We talked about this yesterday on many of our shows and it actually panned  out today. I have to admit that I thought the storm rolling through Albuquerque during the day but it didn’t stay to the south. Most forecast models had the storm curling up in to central portions of the state which would have put Albuquerque in a good position to get meaningful rain. One model, the Canadian, had the storm staying south and that’s the route it took.

Over the next 24 hours will continue to see the remnants of a deal slide through eastern New Mexico providing more rain. Some areas could end up with an inch and a half to 2 inches of additional rain.

Scattered storms remain a possibility through the weekend but nothing too widespread. Here’s a look at the additional rain accumulation possibilities through Sunday.