August 21st, 2014 at 11:31 am by John Smith under Weather
The middle of the workweek has been quiet with only a handful of storms each afternoon across the state. That all changes today as a storm system approaches from the west. As the storm moves into Arizona, southerly flow ahead of it will help reintroduce moisture to the state during the day Thursday.
However, don’t expect many storms to develop until the low crosses the western part of the state late tonight and Friday. The storm system will act as a trigger to help convert the moisture already in place into showers and storms. Western New Mexico can expect storms to develop by daybreak Friday. Central areas, including the Albuquerque metro will see storm development by the early afternoon.
Unfortunately, this storm system is moving rather fast and will exit the state Friday evening. As the storm exits, drier air will work back in behind it, leading to a quieter weekend. A few spot storms will still be possible over the higher terrain Saturday and Sunday.
Early next week the models disagree with what will exactly happen. One model wants to return abundant moisture to the state, leading to better crops of afternoon storms. The other model keeps us on the drier side.
Moisture works back into the state ahead of storm that will arrive during the day Friday.
August 21st, 2014 at 8:26 am by kassandracrimi under Weather
Not much rain expected again today. Most of the state will remain dry and warm with partly cloudy skies. Some shower and storm activity will take place in southeast portions of the state today. We’ll also hold the chance for mountain storms. By tomorrow, we’ll see a significant boost in our rain chance. Today, mostly sunny to partly cloudy, highs near 89°. Tonight, increasing clouds, isol’d storms, lows near 66°.
August 20th, 2014 at 10:12 pm by Mark Ronchetti under Weather
A bone dry day across the state today will lead to more storms by the end the work week. We have a nice combination of high pressure setting up to our east and a storm system coming in from the west. The set up will draw moisture up and into the state and as the low crosses New Mexico on Friday our chance for storms will go way up. The areas that will see most of the action will be across the west and north. However, nowhere in the state can be counted out for getting storms.
After Friday we will dry out once again for the weekend. Only to see another round of storms fire up for Monday and Tuesday as moisture slides up from the south. Here’s a look at the rain we expect over the next 3 to 4 days.
August 20th, 2014 at 6:11 am by kassandracrimi under Weather
Our rain and storm chance won’t be as widespread as previously expected today. Isolated storms possible this afternoon with the more favorable location for storms being the NE and Eastern Plains. Temperatures will be warm today and the next few days while the chance for isolated showers and storms sticks around. Today, partly cloudy, isol’d storms late, highs near 87°. Tonight, mostly cloudy, isol’d storms, lows near 65°.
August 19th, 2014 at 9:21 pm by Mark Ronchetti under Weather
We had a good crop of storms across the western portion of the state today. They showed some promise as they moved toward the metro area but really fizzled out just west of the city. On Wednesday our forecast changes a little bit over what we had on the forecast models yesterday. Now it looks like more dry air will be brought into western and central sections. Here in the metro we’re less likely to see a storm but the possibility of storms will be higher to our east.
Heading into late in the work week it looks like will be on and off with our storm crop. This is a far cry from what we were hoping for as moisture looked like to be more widespread. But instead scattered storms are more likely versus a big block of moisture were huge parts of the state get wet. Such is the monsoon flow.