After a cold start to the day we’ll see sunny and cool skies across the state. Daytime highs will hit the 50s and 60s in most locations today. There will only be a handful of 70s in far SW portions of the state. Tonight, temperatures will be even colder, nearly widespread 30s and 40s. So you’ll want to bundle up a bit more tomorrow morning. Our temperatures will become a bit more mild as we go through the day. Highs will return to the 70s. We’ll see even warmer skies Wednesday with mid 70s
We are watching a cold front that will be diving into the state on Sunday. Ahead of the front temperatures will rise above average into the mid to upper 70s for Albuquerque and the 70s along with the 80s in southern New Mexico. This front will not bring much in the way of rain, but it will certainly crank up the wind in central and northern New Mexico. Wind gusts will range from 40-50 mph Sunday afternoon with winds sustained around 20-30 mph at times. Due to the strong winds, a Wind Advisory has been issued for central and northern New Mexico from lunch time on Sunday until 9pm. Behind the front, temperatures will be 10°-15° cooler on Columbus Day.
After a couple of touch and go days for Balloon Fiesta, things will be looking up for the closing weekend. Scattered showers and high winds pose issues for the Special Shapes Glowdeo Friday evening. This is all thanks to a cold front sweeping across the state. Showers and wind will continue through around midnight.
The winds should die down early enough for a successful Mass Ascension Saturday morning. However, cooler air settling in behind the front will make for a chilly morning. Skies will clear throughout the day across most of New Mexico, but a few showers will still be possible, especially over the high terrain.
The weather stays quiet for the Farewell Mass Ascension Sunday morning before the winds pick up in the afternoon. This is ahead of the next storm system diving south out of Colorado. Showers will develop late in the day across the far northern portions of the state. Cooler air will also push in. After a modest warm up Saturday and Sunday, temperatures will drop by as much as 10° – 15° Monday.
Thursday morning was a great example of a successful balloon launch, despite a storm system moving through. It only takes a window of opportunity for the balloons to take off! Showers set back in across Albuquerque for the afternoon. The Special Shapes Glowdeo will be another wait and see situation. Showers will be in the area, so some light rain will be possible.
Simon departs early Friday, but a cold front moves into the northeast. It will take another window of opportunity for a balloon launch Friday. As the front pushes toward the Albuquerque metro area, winds will pick up Friday afternoon and evening. This could pose some problems for Friday evening’s Glowdeo. Meanwhile, showers will be likely across eastern and central New Mexico with cooler air moving in.
The front washes out Friday night. Right now, the winds look to come down in time for Saturday morning’s Mass Ascension. The weather stay’s quiet through at least Sunday morning before another storm pushes into Southern Colorado. Showers will be possible across the north Sunday evening, extending into the east Monday as another round of cooler air pushes in.
The remnants of Simon will arrive in New Mexico through the evening and overnight. Western New Mexico will see showers first tonight, then showers expand into central and northern New Mexico early Thursday. Rain in the Albuquerque metro area will be scattered, so the radar will have to be watched closely for Thursday morning’s balloon launch. It is possible we could get a large enough window for a successful launch.
Friday morning will be a better looking day for a balloon launch. Most of the showers will shift into northern and northeastern New Mexico as Simon departs. However, a back door cold front will also be entering the northeast. This will help fuel a decent crop of storms across the northeast. As the front pushes through Albuquerque Friday night, winds will be increasing. Saturday morning’s balloon launch will depend on how quickly the winds die down.
Another storm will dive into the northern part of the state Sunday and Monday. However, it should move in late enough in the day to allow for a successful final day of Balloon Fiesta!