Get ready for one more really hot day before big time changes roll into New Mexico. Highs on Saturday will top out in the high 90s in the Albuquerque metro area and 100+ degrees across most of southern New Mexico. High pressure that’s helping to heat up New Mexico will head to the west on Sunday. That movement to the west will allow a lot of moisture pile into the state Sunday and all through next week.
In fact, a parade of backdoor cold fronts will keep deep moisture across most of New Mexico through next week. Some model show that we could pick up 5″+ of rain across the northern mountains and northeast portion of the state. Even here in the metro area the rain numbers should be impressive with over an inch possible over the next seven days.
No one day may deliver a huge rain amount but a series of five and six days with occasional rain accumulation could help us wrap up July with very good rain totals.
It will be quiet once again today with dry and warm conditions across the state. High pressure will continue shifting across New Mexico through Saturday. This will limit storms to the higher terrain and heat up the state. Saturday will be our hottest afternoon with highs in Albuquerque reaching mid to upper 90s. Much of the south and east will meet or exceed the century mark.
During the day Sunday, the high shifts west out of the state, allowing for a back door cold front to enter the northeast. This push of moisture, combined with afternoon heating, will help kick off storms over the northeast and Northern Mountains Sunday afternoon. The front continues westward, an east canyon wind will develop in the metro.
Storms continue early next week as moisture gets recycled from Sunday’s front. Another stronger front will sweep across the state on Wednesday. This front will deliver deeper moisture and push all the way to the Continental Divide. This surge of moisture will juice the atmosphere enough to keep storms going through the end of next week.
It will be hot and dry Saturday before a front brings moisture in Sunday.
Happy Friday! It’s going to be a hot one in The Land Of Enchantment. High pressure will be locked in place over the state keeping our skies on the sunny, hot and on the mainly dry side. I say “mainly dry” because we will see a limited chance for spot mountain storms, but most of the state will be dry. Today, mostly sunny and hot, highs near 96°. Tonight, mostly clear and mild, lows near 71°.
We are looking at a dry and warm forecast over the next couple of days but then there will be some major-league changes. Temperatures will top out tomorrow in the mid 90s with mostly sunny skies across most of the state. The best chance for showers if we see any will be across the Northwest plateau in southwestern Colorado. Saturday we will keep the dry weather going with highs in the high 90s here in the metro area and triple digit heat all across the south.
By late in the day Saturday and Sunday high-pressure will move out of the state and set up to our west. This will open the door for a series of cold fronts to recharge the atmosphere with moisture Sunday and Monday.
Beyond that more moisture should stream in and we should be looking at a pretty wet set up throughout most of next week. Just how wet? Well, long-term models over the next week show we could see 4+ inches of rain across the north. Check it out.
Most of the state continues to dry out today, with the exception of the Four Corners and Northern Mountains. The high that’s been sitting over Colorado the past couple of days will make it’s move into New Mexico. Flow around the high will allow for moisture to wrap around through Arizona and into the northern part of the state. The northwest and Northern Mountains will be favored for the most storms, with isolated storms elsewhere.
The drying trend continues through Friday and Saturday. Storms will still continue over areas like the higher terrain, but most locations will remain dry as temperatures heat up. Highs in Albuquerque will reach the mid 90s by Saturday. Across the south and east, triple digit heat is expected.
By Sunday, the high will shift back to the west. This will allow the door to open for fronts to enter the state. The first arrives late Saturday and could fire a couple of storms in the far northeastern corner of the state. The second moves in Sunday allowing for a much better round of storms northeast. As the front makes progress through the Santa Fe and Albuquerque metro areas, a strong canyon wind is likely to develop Sunday night.
The high continues to sit west early next week allowing for regular round of moisture to keep storms going through the workweek.
High pressure over the state will limit storms through the next couple of days.