The moisture that has made its way into Eastern New Mexico is going to hang around for a few more days.  So there will be a chance for hit or miss t-storms in Eastern New Mexico from today through Sunday.  But, on Sunday the moisture is going to be pretty limited and only a few spot storms are possible.  The best chance will be along the New Mexico and Texas border.  By Monday, all the moisture will be gone and we will be left with dry conditions for Memorial Day.

Wind will be the strongest in the East and especially under any thunderstorm that develops over an area.  Otherwise, Western New Mexico will experience breezy conditions with the fire danger increasing over Memorial Weekend as more dry air begins to move into the region.  There’s still a small chance for a dry t-storm to form over the metro today and on Saturday.

Here is the severe storm approaching Raton. Moving NE at 25mph. 60 mph winds and quarter sized hail. 

Moisture is moving into the Eastern Plains of the state and with dry air to the west there will be a chance for storms over the next few days in the East.   Some of the storms could become severe with strong wind and large hail at times.  So if you have some outdoor plans in Eastern New Mexico, you’ll want to stay alert for storms that could fire during the afternoon.   The best chance for storm activity will be on Friday.  As each day goes on through the holiday weekend the storms won’t be as widespread. The chances will then be the greatest along the New Mexico and Texas border on Sunday.

In the metro, it doesn’t look like the moisture will get pass the Central Mountain chain to allow storms to develop here.  But, there’s a slight chance  for an isolated dry storm over the weekend.  So dry lightning strikes could become a concern.

There are some interesting changes on the way for New Mexico weather over the next couple of days.  Moisture will begin  to leak into eastern New Mexico on Thursday and touch off  isolated showers there. Meanwhile dry conditions in central and western sections will hold through Thursday. Then that moisture will move its way to the west up against the central mountain chain by Friday. Isolated to scattered storms will continue across the eastern side of the state. Here in the metro area will get a chance of an isolated storm on Friday maybe even into Saturday as well.

If we get some storms here in central sections of the state they will be isolated. The real risk for severe weather will be limited to the eastern part of the state Thursday and into Friday as well.   During the back half of the holiday weekend the chance for showers will go away and mostly sunny skies take over.

Our weather will remain relatively quiet over the next 24 hours. We should see increasing chances of some gusty winds on the east slopes of the northern mountains. However won’t see much in the way of showers until we get to late Thursday. The chance to pick up showers will begin an extreme eastern New Mexico Thursday afternoon. That chance will expand to the west during the day on Friday. The best chance for getting wetting rain will be in areas like Union County stretching down into Chaves County.

We are in dire need of significant precipitation in these areas. So anything we can get in the way of  rain will be helpful. The Albuquerque metro area should continue to see a shot of showers into Saturday but we are not expecting significant amount of rain. During this time temperatures will continue to rise as well with highs in the high 80s.