It’s going to be another hot day! It was a warm start with temperatures in the 70s very early and we’re expected to climb well into the 90s again today. We’ll also see a good chance for scattered showers and storms, with local heavy rainfall possible. The northern and western portions of the state will host slightly more favorable conditions for rain and storms today. Today, partly cloudy, highs near 97°, isol’d storms. Tonight, mostly cloudy, leftover storms, lows near 70°.
Expect slightly better coverage of showers and storms this afternoon. The high that’s been limiting storm production the past several days will slide in Colorado. This will allow the moisture door to crack open from the south. The higher terrain will continue to be the favored areas for storm development. We continue to see some moisture find it’s way into the state Wednesday.
Thursday the high slides back into New Mexico. This will cut off our moisture tap, causing storm coverage to decrease. Storms that develop will do so from what little moisture that’s left over from the previous days. By Friday and the weekend only isolated storms will be possible, primarily over the higher terrain. With drier air in place, temperatures will warm up into the weekend as well.
The high shifts back into Arizona early next week. This will get us back into a pattern where back door cold fronts are able to enter the state. As we’ve seen in recent weeks, these cold fronts will charge the atmosphere with plenty of moisture to allow for scattered heavy rain. As we approach late July, still no sign of the traditional monsoon setup.
More heat headed our way today! It was a warm start with temperatures in the 70s very early and we’re expected to climb well into the 90s again today. We’ll also see a good chance for scattered showers and storms, with locally heavy rainfall possible. Today, partly cloudy, scattered storms, highs near 94°. Tonight, partly cloudy, lingering storms, lows near 69°. The heat and the chance for storms will reoccur tomorrow as well before we get drier and hotter skies moving into the area on Thursday and Friday.
High pressure sitting over the state has not allowed all that many storms to get fired up across New Mexico over the past few days. That will change a bit on Tuesday and Wednesday. The high will shift north over Colorado allowing more moisture to slide up from the south puling thunderstorms. This will not create a huge crop of storms but it should lead to an increase in some storms.
However, that increase won’t last long. The high should drop back down over the state by Thursday reducing the number of overall storms. There is some hope over the weekend and into next week that a backdoor cold front will recharge the atmosphere with moisture. Below is a look at the 7 to 14 day outlook for precip across the state this does show some promise.
It’s going to be a difficult week for storms as high pressure dominates our weather. Despite the less than desirable setup, some moisture will still manage to sneak under the high. The best shot at storms today will be along the central mountain chain and across the northeast. A spot storm will be possible across the west and Rio Grande Valley.
High pressure shifts north into Colorado Tuesday, allowing for just a little more moisture across the state. This should lead to slightly better storm coverage across the state. However, only expect scattered storms at best. The high shifts back into the state Wednesday and limits storm activity through the weekend. Late in the weekend, it’s possible a cold front could bring another deeper round of moisture into the state.
With the dry conditions in place, expect afternoon highs to stay 5° – 10° above average through most of the week. As high pressure sets into the state for the latter half of the workweek, afternoon highs in the Albuquerque metro will reach the mid-90s, while the south and east continue to flirt with the century mark.