Mark Ronchetti

Perfect Weather Thursday

October 29th, 2014 at 9:23 pm by under Weather

A ridge of high-pressure will slide over the state on Thursday leaving the sunny skies and light winds. Temperatures will top out in the low 70s which is about 10° above average for this time of year. By Friday that high will shift over into Texas. This will open the door for a little bit of moisture to creep into New Mexico. Most likely it will lead to some clouds more than any rain or snow.

Over the weekend intrigue grows a little bit. Temperatures will drop as more moisture seeps in meanwhile a storm approaches from the west. We will still see mainly partly cloudy skies with just a few scattered showers but what happens over the weekend could set the table for Monday. As a deeper trough approaches the state we could see snow break out Sunday night into Monday across the northern mountains. The resorts could pick up that first decent snow of the fall.


Ridge For Now…But What About The Weekend

October 28th, 2014 at 9:42 pm by under Weather

A ridge of high-pressure will continue to set up over the Southwest for the next 48 hours. The effect of this ridge will be to keep any cloud cover out of the state leaving sunny skies and temperatures warming a few degrees over the highs of the low 70s that we saw today. This will not be the kind of rich though that will skyrocket temperatures across the state.

Changes emerge for the weekend. The high will shift just to our Eastover Texas. This could allow for a little bit of moisture to creep up from the south. That combined with the storm systems were at Northwest could lead to a couple showers. Internally going to be a wet pattern but we could at least see more clouds over the weekend.  Below is a look relative humidity levels over the weekend.  It’s not earth shattering but some Gulf juice is possible.

GFS

 


Anthor Ridge?

October 27th, 2014 at 6:37 pm by under Weather

The big story over the next 24 hours weather wise will be a cool down across the state. As we speak cool air is flowing through northern New Mexico on its way down to the south. Here in the metro area we will top out on Tuesday with temperatures in the mid 60s. But the cool down will not be long-lasting.

A strong ridge of high-pressure will begin to build in by Wednesday and last through the remainder of the work week. This high will block all moisture to the north and allow for another warm-up. The difference in this weeks high-pressure is the fact that the warm-up will not be quite as significant.  We will top out with temperatures in the low 70s by Thursday and Friday.

By the weekend things could change with the storm system dropping down from the northwest. At this point though it doesn’t appear to bring significant moisture.  Below is a look at our ridge of high pressure.

GFS


Ridge Holds Through Saturday

October 24th, 2014 at 8:58 pm by under Weather

A strong ridge of high pressure continues to dominate our weather. Highs on Saturday will be well above average and in fact near records across a good portion of the state. Albuquerque is a good example of this, our record high for the date is 81° while our forecast high at the Sunport is 79.

The high will begin to lose its grip by Sunday allowing in a few more clouds in advance of our next storm system. In addition, winds  will crank up as that storm comes in from the west coast. Right now it looks like the track of the system will be a little too far north to provide much precip but we could see a spot shower in on Monday. Below is a look how far above average our temps will be.
GFS


Ridge Moves In…

October 22nd, 2014 at 8:19 pm by under Weather

A strong ridge of high pressure will build over the southwest in the next few days.  This high will lock all moisture well to our north and lead to rising temperatures.  Highs on Thursday will be in the mid 70′s with sunny skies.  Highs will continue to rise through the weekend.  By Saturday temps will be close to the 80′s here in Albuquerque and well into the 80′s out east.

Our weather pattern will begin to change early next week.  There is much debate between US models and the European Model on what is going to play out.  Most of the disagreement centers on how far south our next storm system will drop on Monday.  Below is the European look at the storm track.  You can see it drops down into the northern part of New Mexico.  If this track pans out the east slopes of the northern mountains could actually pick up some snow.  Stay tuned!

Euro