Mark Ronchetti

Ridge Holds Through Saturday

October 24th, 2014 at 8:58 pm by under Weather

A strong ridge of high pressure continues to dominate our weather. Highs on Saturday will be well above average and in fact near records across a good portion of the state. Albuquerque is a good example of this, our record high for the date is 81° while our forecast high at the Sunport is 79.

The high will begin to lose its grip by Sunday allowing in a few more clouds in advance of our next storm system. In addition, winds  will crank up as that storm comes in from the west coast. Right now it looks like the track of the system will be a little too far north to provide much precip but we could see a spot shower in on Monday. Below is a look how far above average our temps will be.
GFS


Ridge Moves In…

October 22nd, 2014 at 8:19 pm by under Weather

A strong ridge of high pressure will build over the southwest in the next few days.  This high will lock all moisture well to our north and lead to rising temperatures.  Highs on Thursday will be in the mid 70′s with sunny skies.  Highs will continue to rise through the weekend.  By Saturday temps will be close to the 80′s here in Albuquerque and well into the 80′s out east.

Our weather pattern will begin to change early next week.  There is much debate between US models and the European Model on what is going to play out.  Most of the disagreement centers on how far south our next storm system will drop on Monday.  Below is the European look at the storm track.  You can see it drops down into the northern part of New Mexico.  If this track pans out the east slopes of the northern mountains could actually pick up some snow.  Stay tuned!

Euro


Storm Killing Ridge Sets Up!

October 21st, 2014 at 10:37 pm by under Weather

A strong ridge of high-pressure will build over the Southwest in the next few days. That ridge will clear out any clouds and lead to mostly sunny skies and warming temperatures back into the high 70s. Through the weekend we should see warm temperatures and sunny skies continue with highs remaining in the upper 70s and low 80s.

Changes roll back into the forecast area by Monday.   A cold trough show signs of dropping toward New Mexico.  The exact track of the system is very much in doubt but there are signs that if he comes far enough south of the northern mountains could see some snow.  Below is a look at our storm killing ridge.

GFS

 


A Parade of Storms…

October 17th, 2014 at 9:50 pm by under Weather

Over the next 4 to 5 days we will have a high volume of storms coming in the New Mexico the question is what is the quality of the storms?  To be quite honest, it doesn’t look that great right now but overall by the time we’re finished with this pattern by say Thursday or Friday a wide area of the state could pick up light to moderate rain.

It all kicks off tonight with a weak storm system passing through spreading scattered showers. Then tomorrow with plenty of clouds around we are mainly looking at some isolated rain.

The second storm system comes in Sunday into Monday. This one will drop a little farther to the south so look for southern New Mexico to be the focus for the scattered storms. And then a third system could well come in by midweek.  This one has the potential to spread rain and high mountain snow across the north.

Below is a look at the 5 to 7 day precipitation. It’s not huge but it would be beneficial.

QPF


Clouds Close In…

October 16th, 2014 at 8:23 pm by under Weather

Clouds will increase across the state from west to east during the day tomorrow.  Not only will we see clouds increase but will also see a cold front punch and northeastern New Mexico knocking down temperatures and kicking up winds a bit. A week storm system will approach as well and that storm system could well touch off a few showers on Saturday.  I wouldn’t expect widespread rain but we could see scattered showers through the weekend and then things get far more interesting for the beginning of next week.

The storm track will move down into New Mexico Monday through Wednesday next week. Two separate storms will drop down into the state expanding the chance for rain Monday through the midweek time period. Below is a look at what the Canadian model thinks we will see you by midweek. As you can tell widespread rain a a real possibility.

GEM