September 21st, 2014 at 9:03 pm by John Smith under Weather
Monday will be very similar to Sunday with more scattered showers and storms across the state. Unfortunately, the southeast is expected to receive even more rainfall on top of what has already fallen. Official reports for Whites City are close to 6″ since Thursday, and some remote areas of Eddy County could be even higher.
The good news is that a drying trend will set up Tuesday into Wednesday. As things dry out, temperatures will warm to above average for this time of year. While spot storms will still be possible across the state, most areas will remain dry through the end of the work week.
Long range models disagree on the setup for next weekend. Both models show a storm system passing to the north. However, one model has it closer to New Mexico. Regardless of track, both models continue showing a shift away from the monsoon setup to storm systems diving closer to the state.
Areas of Eddy county have seen over half of their average annual precipitation since Thursday.
September 20th, 2014 at 5:43 pm by John Smith under Weather
After a break Saturday, rain returns to New Mexico on Sunday. The good news is that we are not expecting widespread persistent rainfall. The bad news is that any scattered storms that do develop could dump quick bursts of heavy rainfall. Flash flooding will be possible for those areas already saturated from the remnants of Odile.
The moisture Sunday will be due to the monsoon flow, assisted by a storm passing to our northwest. Showers will continue across the south and east Sunday, but drier air will work into the northwest corner of the state as the storm system passes north.
The weather goes quiet for the middle and latter part of the work week with above average temperatures.
Moisture will return Sunday allowing for scattered showers and storms.
September 17th, 2014 at 6:09 am by John Smith under Weather
The weather the rest of the week will be dominated by what is now Tropical Storm Odile. Southerly moisture will continue to be streamed into southern New Mexico ahead of Odile today. Expect the persistent steady rainfall to continue for much of the south. Some of those showers will creep into the Albuquerque metro area throughout the day.
Thursday, Odile crosses New Mexico. Showers will expand to include northern New Mexico. Some pockets of heavier rainfall will still be possible with flash flooding remaining a concern. Friday, Odile exits to the north and east. Most of the widespread showers will focus across the eastern plains.
Over the weekend, the weather will stay active as a back door cold front pushes in. Expect scattered showers and storms, especially during the day Saturday. As the front washes out, storm coverage will decrease for Sunday and early next week.
Progress of the remnants of Odile over the next 3 days.
September 16th, 2014 at 5:41 am by John Smith under Weather
An ideal setup will allow for widespread showers and storms across the west. Our cold front has now pushed to the continental divide. In addition, Tropical Storm Odile is helping push up moisture as it passes south and west of the state. Flash flood watches are in place across the southwest.
Late Wednesday through Friday, the remnants of Odile will cross through the state. This will lead to more showers and storms. It could also lead to more flash flooding due to the prolonged rainfall across the state.
Storm coverage will back off some over the weekend, but it will take a few days for the weather to completely quiet down across the state.
Southwest New Mexico will see the most rainfall over the next 5 days.
September 15th, 2014 at 6:14 am by John Smith under Weather
A cold front will move into eastern New Mexico today. This will help fire storms in areas east of the central mountain chain. As the front continues westward through the state, breezy conditions will develop in the Albuquerque metro area tonight. Expect more storms across central and western New Mexico Tuesday.
Hurricane Odile is making landfall this morning in Baja California. Maximum sustained winds are currently topping 115 mph. This storm will continue to ride up the coast toward Southern California, then turn into Arizona. The remnants of the storm will arrive in New Mexico late this week and into the weekend. The storm will not be near as strong as it is now, but will provide more moisture to enhance showers and storms.
Hurricane Odile could impact our weather late this week.
Spot storms possible in Albuquerque this afternoon with elevated winds tonight.