October 10th, 2014 at 5:11 pm by John Smith under Weather
After a couple of touch and go days for Balloon Fiesta, things will be looking up for the closing weekend. Scattered showers and high winds pose issues for the Special Shapes Glowdeo Friday evening. This is all thanks to a cold front sweeping across the state. Showers and wind will continue through around midnight.
The winds should die down early enough for a successful Mass Ascension Saturday morning. However, cooler air settling in behind the front will make for a chilly morning. Skies will clear throughout the day across most of New Mexico, but a few showers will still be possible, especially over the high terrain.
The weather stays quiet for the Farewell Mass Ascension Sunday morning before the winds pick up in the afternoon. This is ahead of the next storm system diving south out of Colorado. Showers will develop late in the day across the far northern portions of the state. Cooler air will also push in. After a modest warm up Saturday and Sunday, temperatures will drop by as much as 10° – 15° Monday.
The weekend is looking much nicer for the close of Balloon Fiesta!
October 9th, 2014 at 4:46 pm by John Smith under Weather
Thursday morning was a great example of a successful balloon launch, despite a storm system moving through. It only takes a window of opportunity for the balloons to take off! Showers set back in across Albuquerque for the afternoon. The Special Shapes Glowdeo will be another wait and see situation. Showers will be in the area, so some light rain will be possible.
Simon departs early Friday, but a cold front moves into the northeast. It will take another window of opportunity for a balloon launch Friday. As the front pushes toward the Albuquerque metro area, winds will pick up Friday afternoon and evening. This could pose some problems for Friday evening’s Glowdeo. Meanwhile, showers will be likely across eastern and central New Mexico with cooler air moving in.
The front washes out Friday night. Right now, the winds look to come down in time for Saturday morning’s Mass Ascension. The weather stay’s quiet through at least Sunday morning before another storm pushes into Southern Colorado. Showers will be possible across the north Sunday evening, extending into the east Monday as another round of cooler air pushes in.
Showers could be an issue once again Friday morning before nicer weather over the weekend.
October 8th, 2014 at 5:00 pm by John Smith under Weather
The remnants of Simon will arrive in New Mexico through the evening and overnight. Western New Mexico will see showers first tonight, then showers expand into central and northern New Mexico early Thursday. Rain in the Albuquerque metro area will be scattered, so the radar will have to be watched closely for Thursday morning’s balloon launch. It is possible we could get a large enough window for a successful launch.
Friday morning will be a better looking day for a balloon launch. Most of the showers will shift into northern and northeastern New Mexico as Simon departs. However, a back door cold front will also be entering the northeast. This will help fuel a decent crop of storms across the northeast. As the front pushes through Albuquerque Friday night, winds will be increasing. Saturday morning’s balloon launch will depend on how quickly the winds die down.
Another storm will dive into the northern part of the state Sunday and Monday. However, it should move in late enough in the day to allow for a successful final day of Balloon Fiesta!
Rain will be a concern for the balloon launch Thursday, then watching winds Saturday.
October 3rd, 2014 at 9:48 pm by John Smith under Weather
The weather couldn’t be more perfect as Balloon Fiesta kicks off Saturday morning! It will be cool with morning lows in the mid to upper 40s, but winds will be light and expect to see plenty of sunshine! Afternoon highs will warm to the mid to upper 70s.
Sunday will be a bit tricky for balloons, especially the special shapes. As a weak weather disturbance works through the state, winds will elevate a bit. Expect near to just above 10 mph. While that may not be much by New Mexico’s standards, it doesn’t take much wind for balloonists to run into problems.
The winds come back down Monday and the start of the work week will be mainly quiet. Toward the middle and latter part of the weak, the remnants of Hurricane Simon will work through. This will give New Mexico a better chance at showers late Wednesday through early Friday.
Saturday looks great for Balloon Fiesta. However, winds could be a concern Sunday.
September 21st, 2014 at 9:03 pm by John Smith under Weather
Monday will be very similar to Sunday with more scattered showers and storms across the state. Unfortunately, the southeast is expected to receive even more rainfall on top of what has already fallen. Official reports for Whites City are close to 6″ since Thursday, and some remote areas of Eddy County could be even higher.
The good news is that a drying trend will set up Tuesday into Wednesday. As things dry out, temperatures will warm to above average for this time of year. While spot storms will still be possible across the state, most areas will remain dry through the end of the work week.
Long range models disagree on the setup for next weekend. Both models show a storm system passing to the north. However, one model has it closer to New Mexico. Regardless of track, both models continue showing a shift away from the monsoon setup to storm systems diving closer to the state.
Areas of Eddy county have seen over half of their average annual precipitation since Thursday.