After a very windy weekend the winds will stay strong for at least one more day.   On Monday, dry conditions and high winds will create another day of high fire danger.  A back door cold front moves through the Eastern portion of New Mexico on Tuesday.  That’ll keep the wind on the breezy side, but it won’t be as strong.

Shower chances will be limited to the Northern Mountains and the Northeast over the next few days.   There looks to be a chance for some showers and storms next weekend for at least the Eastern Plains.  But, there are still a lot of disagreements between the models on exactly how much moisture will make it into the state for showers to develop.

The strong, gusty winds will continue into the second half of your weekend.  That’s because the upper-level low pressure system passing through the region will slowly move off to the east and north over the next few days.  Behind this system another wave of energy will move through Northern New Mexico on Monday.  This system will keep the wind going through at Monday night.

Again, most of the precip will stay off to the north and we’ll be left with dry thunderstorms that do nothing but pick up the wind.  With the strong winds lasting through Monday, the high fire danger will also continue.  So it’s important to be alert when your outside and to not do any burning yourself.  The winds will relax by mid-week when a ridge builds over New Mexico allowing for the summer-like temps to return.

A low pressure system is going to pass through the region.  Unfortunately, like most systems it looks like most of the rain will stay to our north.  But, there is a chance for some scattered showers over the Northwest and Northern Mountains on Saturday.  After Saturday, there’s just a small chance for some spot storms over the north through Monday evening.  Outside of Northern New Mexico there isn’t any rain in the forecast.  Much of the state will experience an increase in wind and a higher fire danger through the weekend and into early next week.

Temperatures do cool down a bit over the weekend.  It’ll still be warm, but temps will go back to more seasonable conditions here in the Metro with the hottest weather staying in Southeastern New Mexico.

We’re watching a storm system that will move just to our north over the next few days.  There’s still a possibility this low pressure system could move further south.  This would give us a little more moisture with a better chance for some showers over the north and less wind.  But,  if it stays further north the wind will really pick up over the weekend creating a very high fire danger for New Mexico with a chance for spot storms over the Northwest and Northern Mountains.  The Eastern portion of New Mexico is already under a Fire Weather Watch for Saturday because of the increasing wind speeds.

Temperatures will stay on the warm side in the Metro, but upper 90s and triple digit heat will continue in the Southeast for places like Carlsbad.  Temperatures do come down a bit over the weekend.

Unfortunately, our chances for showers continue to dwindle.  On Monday and Tuesday there’s still a chance for a few pop-up storms, but they’ll be mainly confined to the Northern Mountains and their Eastern Slopes.    Temperatures will be the big weather story this week.  On Monday, we’ll break into the 80s in the Metro then the upper 80s by mid-week.  Some areas in the Southeast will climb into the mid and upper 90s by mid-week.  So it’s really going to feel like summer this week!

We’ll also be watching a low pressure system that will move through the Southern portion of the state on Tuesday.  It could spark some scattered t-storms throughout the state.  But, there isn’t going to be much moisture left at the surface.  So any storm that does form on Tuesday will likely only pick up the wind for a brief time and produce some dry-lightning.