We are watching a cold front that will be diving into the state on Sunday. Ahead of the front temperatures will rise above average into the mid to upper 70s for Albuquerque and the 70s along with the 80s in southern New Mexico. This front will not bring much in the way of rain, but it will certainly crank up the wind in central and northern New Mexico. Wind gusts will range from 40-50 mph Sunday afternoon with winds sustained around 20-30 mph at times. Due to the strong winds, a Wind Advisory has been issued for central and northern New Mexico from lunch time on Sunday until 9pm. Behind the front, temperatures will be 10°-15° cooler on Columbus Day.
Hurricane Simon has lost some of it’s strength as of Sunday night. It has been downgraded to a category 1 hurricane. Despite losing its strength, Simon looks to be a major player in New Mexico’s weather this upcoming week.
An area of high pressure will continue to control our weather for the first half of the week. But, come Wednesday into Thursday moisture will start entering the state from Simon. This will spark scattered storms beginning in the southwest and in western NM on Wednesday. It looks like central and eastern New Mexico will see rain chances go up on Thursday and they’ll continue into Friday.
In addition to the moisture from Simon, we will watch a cold front roll into northeastern New Mexico by the end of the week. This front will trigger even more storms around the northern mountains, along the central mountain chain, and into eastern New Mexico.
There is some disagreement between the models on where a bulk of the rain will fall. Model #1 (shown above) keeps the heavier rain farther west and north. While model #2 (shown below) favors central, and eastern New Mexico. This is still several days out, so there will be some day-to-day changes in the rain forecast. Either way it sure does look like parts of the state will see more rain by the middle of the week. Stay with KRQE for more weather updates!
The slow moving storm system that we have been talking about for the past several days is finally going to pass through the region on Monday. This will give central and eastern New Mexico a good shot for scattered storms for Monday afternoon. Some of the storms could become severe especially in the Northeast. That is where we could have storms producing large hail and strong, gusty winds between lunch time and dinner time. The system will move out tomorrow night and we will cool things down some for Tuesday and Wednesday.
A strong storm system continues to slowly push to the east, northeast. This area of low pressure picked up the winds on your Saturday and it’ll will keep the winds going for Sunday along with better rain chances. Western New Mexico will have the best shot for storms on Sunday and there could be a few strong to severe storms around the Four Corners by tomorrow afternoon. If the storms do become severe the main threats will be large hail and strong, damaging winds. The rain chances for central New Mexico will go up on Monday as the storm system begins to move out. Behind it, temperatures will be cooler making it feel more like fall.
A strong storm system is going to be impacting parts of New Mexico this weekend. The storm is over Nevada as of Friday night, but eventually it will be crossing over the Four Corners and just far enough south to give central and western New Mexico a pretty good shot for storms beginning Saturday afternoon. First, you’ll likely notice the breezes kicking up on Saturday and western New Mexico will be favored for scattered storms . The storm isn’t going to be a quick mover so the rain chances will continue for western New Mexico and spread into central areas by Sunday afternoon. It looks like there’s only a slight chance for the southeast to get rain from this system. Stay tuned!